IMPLEMENTASI METODE SINGLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING DALAM PERAMALAN PENJUALAN MINUMAN BOBA
نویسندگان
چکیده
Banyak pesaing dan dampak covid-19 menyebabkan penjualan minuman boba tidak menentu. Hal tersebut menimbulkan masalah terhadap penjual Boba Tresnatea karena dapat mengetahui akan mengalami kenaikan atau penurunan di masa mendatang. Untuk mempersiapkan hal itu perlu dilakukannya peramalan. Salah satu metode yang bisa digunakan untuk melakukan peramalan adalah Single Exponential Smoothing (SES). SES dipilih baik pada jangka pendek. peramalkan memprediksi sesuatu dimasa mendatang dengan memanfaatkan data dari lampau, membantu pengambilan keputusan sehingga memperkecil resiko ada. Hasil Bulan Agustus 2022 alpha 0,8 388 cup 0,9 390 cup. MAD 40,09180147 39,12510214. MAPE nilai 11,95645923 11,63512324. Nilai paling 0,9. kasus ini dikategorikan berdasarkan indeks kelayakan 10% sampai 20% dinyatakan baik.
منابع مشابه
Klasifikasi Data Cardiotocography Dengan Integrasi Metode Neural Network Dan Particle Swarm Optimization
Backpropagation (BP) adalah sebuah metode yang digunakan dalam training Neural Network (NN) untuk menentukan parameter bobot yang sesuai. Proses penentuan parameter bobot dengan menggunakan metode backpropagation sangat dipengaruhi oleh pemilihan nilai learning rate (LR)-nya. Penggunaan nilai learning rate yang kurang optimal berdampak pada waktu komputasi yang lama atau akurasi klasifikasi yan...
متن کاملSmooth Transition Exponential Smoothing
Adaptive exponential smoothing methods allow a smoothing parameter to change over time, in order to adapt to changes in the characteristics of the time series. However, these methods have tended to produce unstable forecasts and have performed poorly in empirical studies. This paper presents a new adaptive method, which enables a smoothing parameter to be modelled as a logistic function of a us...
متن کاملExponential Smoothing Mod
Applications of exponential smoothing to forecast time series usually rely on three basic methods: simple exponential smoothing, trend corrected exponential smoothing and a seasonal variation thereof. A common approach to select the method appropriate to a particular time series is based on prediction validation on a withheld part of the sample using criteria such as the mean absolute percentag...
متن کاملImage Smoothing with Exponential Functions
Noise reduction in images, also known as image smoothing, is an essential and rst step before further processings are done on the image. The key to image smoothing is to preserve important features while removing noise from the image. Gaussian function is widely used in image smoothing. Recently it has been reported that exponential functions (value of the exponent is not equal to 2) perform su...
متن کاملBinary Consensus via Exponential Smoothing
In this paper, we reinterpret the most basic exponential smoothing equation as a model of social influence. Exponential smoothing has been used as a time-series forecasting and data filtering technique since the 1950s. The most basic exponential smoothing equation, S t+1 = (1−α)S +αX, is used to estimate the value of a series at time t+ 1, denoted by S , as a convex combination of the current e...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Anti Virus
سال: 2022
ISSN: ['1978-5232', '2527-337X']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.35457/antivirus.v16i2.2474